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2024-12-14 10:22:40

In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:


Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.


I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!

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